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[ NNSquad ] Why does the US lag?
- To: nnsquad <nnsquad@nnsquad.org>
- Subject: [ NNSquad ] Why does the US lag?
- From: Barry Gold <BarryDGold@ca.rr.com>
- Date: Fri, 08 May 2009 11:08:25 -0700
International measuring groups report that broadband has a smaller
penetration in the US than in other developed countries, that we often
pay more for less.
The question is, why? In principle, the US is the least regulated
market in this regard. Not _unregulated_, by any means, but by and
large our regulators have been less heavy-handed than in Europe or
Japan. So, by capitalist theory, we should get the best results. But
measured results do not agree.
This is _not_ an automatic indictment of our capitalist system. Quite
the contrary, it is a call for a _reasoned_ discussion of the factors
that affect our performance. Is it really as abysmal as it looks? If
so, why?
Some factors I can think of:
1. The US is a great deal less dense than the EU & Japan. THis means
that any form of wired access (TV cable, telephone wires) costs more per
household here than elsewhere. I have read that you could fit the
entire population of the world into California, at the same density as
Los Angeles (a not-very-dense city compared with NY, Boston, and
especially Tokyo).
2. Lack of incentive for consumers to adopt broadband: the concept of
the "local call". This was adopted early in the US telephone
regulation, part of AT&T's tradeoff of "universal" service for a
protected (but regulated) monopoly. This concept does not exist in
Europe AFAIK. Even calling your next-door neighbor costs a few cents a
minute. So keeping a dial-up connection to the internet open is cheap
in the US, expensive in the rest of the world.(*)
3. Lack of a government commitment to connect everybody to the Internet.
AFAIK both Japan and many EU countries have spent tax dollars to
increase broadband penetration. Economists can argue until doomsday
about whether this was, overall, a good thing.
4. Something in our regulatory scheme that encourages artificial
creation of scarcity.
To the extent possible, I would like to see _reasoned_ arguments backed
up with _facts_. Speculation, proof by assertion ("Our ISPs create an
artificial scarcity, I'm sure of it"), circular reasoning, do not
advance our knowledge.
To quote from The Notebooks of Lazarus Long, by R. A. Heinlein:
What are the facts? Again and again and again -- what are the facts?
Shun wishful thinking, ignore divine revelation, forget what "the stars
foretell," avoid opinion, care not what the neighbors think, never mind
the unguessable "verdict of history" -- what are the facts, and to how
many decimal places? You pilot always into an unknown future; facts are
your single clue. Get the facts!
(*) This means that people who don't feel a need for videos or large
images have much less incentive to buy broadband for $30+/month,
compared with dial-up at $10-15/month. And, by one of those odd
paradoxes of life, people who have never used a high-speed connection
and seen what it can do, simply may not realize what they are missing.
An old friend who moved to Germany visited us in the late 90s, when we
already had broadband through our cableco. He's a big space fan, and
looked at some _huge_ images on the NASA site. And watched as the image
filled the screen in about 1 second, filling in almost as fast as he
could scroll down to look at more of it. And he swore to get broadband
as soon as he could. Without that visit, would he have even known this
was possible? And that he really wanted it?